Saturday, October 15, 2011

Week 6 Picks

If for some reason you're waiting to see what my weekly NFL picks are before you make your own, then you really need some professional help.  Even still, I'm probably costing you money or points in your fantasy pick 'em league, for which I apologize.  Frankly, I'm embarrassed by my performance picking NFL games this season.  I blame the randomly good teams and the teams that are supposed to be good, but aren't.  Regardless, I'm committed to doing this all season, so here we go with this week's picks:

Panthers at Falcons: Atlanta-I still don't know what to make of the 2011 Atlanta Falcons.  They're 2-3, which means they already have as many losses as they had all of last season, but in one of the wins, they looked tremendous against the Eagles.  The Falcons lost in Weeks 1, 3 and 5 and won in Weeks 2 and 4.  Since this is an even-numbered week, I think Atlanta wins against a Carolina team that still isn't quite there yet.

Colts at Bengals: Cincinnati-We know this much, the Colts won't have their traditional 12-4 record this season.  Last week, I went against my new policy of not picking the Colts until they finally win a game without Peyton and got bit by it.  So, I'm going back to it and taking the Bengals.

49ers at Lions: Detroit-Who would've thought that San Francisco at Detroit would be one of the best games of the week at any point this season?  But here we are with both of them in first place in Week 6.  The Lions are for real.  They proved that last week against the Bears.  So is San Francisco, but this game's in Detroit, so I like the Lions to stay undefeated.

Rams at Packers: Green Bay-The Rams are supposed to be better than this, but here they are as the only winless team left in the NFC.  Taking on the undefeated Super Bowl champions on the road isn't a recipe for that first win to come on Sunday.  The Brewers will then make it a clean sweep of Wisconsin's Sunday home games against St. Louis by forcing a Game 7 against the Cardinals.

Bills at Giants: Buffalo-I was torn about this one, and not just because the Bills are my second favorite team behind the Giants.  I think pretty much everybody got burned by the Giants and their inexcusable home loss to Seattle last week.  Meanwhile, the Bills rebounded from their first loss by beating Philly.  This is another test for the Bills.  What Giants team will show up, though?  I'm taking Buffalo, but it's definitely a toss-up.

Jaguars at Steelers: Pittsburgh-The Steelers have two losses this season, and each time they rebounded by thumping somebody at home, including last week's 38-17 win over the Titans.  This is the end of Pittsburgh's four-week odyssey through the AFC South.  The Steelers will finish 3-1 against the division with a win over Jacksonville.

Eagles at Redskins: Washington-If you told me that these teams would meet in Washington in Week 6 with one in first place and the other in last, I wouldn't have been surprised.  Except, I would've had which team was in which place the other way around.  The Eagles are 0-4 since beating a Rams team that's still winless, so I'm not even sure it counts.  Philly's favored in this game.  I have no idea why.  Coming off their bye, at home, the Redskins take it.

Browns at Raiders: Oakland-I had that feeling the Raiders would win last week in the wake of Al Davis' death.  Now it's their first game in Oakland since his passing.  This game will probably be even more emotional.  I have the same feeling about the Raiders this week.

Texans at Ravens: Baltimore-Two first place teams face off in Baltimore.  They both have a very realistic chance of being in first place at the end of the season, as well.  We'll have to see how the Texans do without Mario Williams.  They're good enough to win some games without him, but not against a team as good as the Ravens.

Cowboys at Patriots: New England-FOX loves this matchup as a national game, and who could blame them?  It's two of America's favorite teams to hate!  We saw what happened when the Cowboys played the Jets in Week 1.  We also saw what happened when the Patriots played the Jets last week.  New England's at home, too.  Do the Patriots ever lose at home before the playoffs?

Saints at Buccaneers: New Orleans-Sorry Falcons, but these are the two best teams in the NFC South.  A Bucs win moves them into first place and shows that they're a serious threat to make noise all season.  But they got smacked around and then some last week in San Francisco.  And the Saints are red hot.  They haven't lost since Opening Night in Green Bay.  I just like the way the Saints are playing right now way too much to go against them.

Vikings at Bears: Chicago-The two teams in the NFC South that aren't 5-0 square off in the Sunday night game.  The Vikings finally got a win last week against the Cardinals, while the Bears blew an early lead in Detroit.  But Chicago's a better team and playing a home, so I'm going with the Bears.

Dolphins at Jets: Jets-After going 0-3 on a three-game road trip, the Jets desperately needed to come home.  A Monday night game against the current leaders in the Andrew Luck Sweepstakes is also a welcome change to games in the Black Hole, Baltimore and New England.  Plus, the Jets like being in prime time.  They'll win this one to get back to .500.

Last Week: a pathetic 7-6
Season: still a somewhat respectable 48-29

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