When the NFL went to an all-division-games schedule in the final week of the season, this is what they had in mind. Game 272 is the first regular season game between two 14-win teams in league history! And the craziest part about that is either the Vikings or Lions will be a 14-win wild card team! The winner is the 1-seed, the loser has to go on the road in the playoffs. Everything's at stake. This is exactly what NFL fans want to see!
While NFC's 1-seed is yet to be clinched, there are plenty of playoff spots already locked in, which will definitely have an impact on this week's games...and the playoff races. It's disappointing that Saquon Barkley won't go for the rushing record, but I get why the Eagles are sitting him. We also know that Kansas City's sitting starters and the Bills likely will, too. I'm curious to see what the other playoff teams will do, though.
Browns (3-13) at Ravens (11-5): Baltimore-During that three-games-in-11-days stretch, Baltimore went 3-0 and Pittsburgh went 0-3. As a result, it's now the Ravens who are in control of the AFC North. They clinch the division and 3-seed with a win in their finale, and they drew the Browns at home, the far more beatable of the two Ohio opponents. And, yes, I say this knowing full well that Cleveland won the first meeting between the two this season (the Browns also beat the Steelers this year). All the more reason why I think Lamar & Co. get themselves another home game next week.
Bengals (8-8) at Steelers (10-6): Pittsburgh-This is where it gets interesting. If the Ravens win, the Steelers are locked into a wild card. But I think they play to win anyway for two reasons. For one, they've lost three straight and don't want to go into the playoffs on a four-game losing streak. More importantly, if they lose, they're guaranteed to play the Ravens in Baltimore next week. They'd much rather go to Houston. Eliminating the Bengals would be an added bonus.
Panthers (4-12) at Falcons (8-8): Atlanta-Atlanta was a popular preseason pick to win the NFC South. Even in the middle of the season, you would've liked the Falcons' chances. Instead, they're looking up at Tampa Bay and know they only get in with a win and a Bucs loss. They'll do their part against a Carolina team that had actually been playing some pretty good football before last week's shellacking in Tampa.
Commanders (11-5) at Cowboys (7-9): Washington-What a difference this season has been in Washington! Jayden Daniels wrapped up Offensive Rookie of the Year last week, as the Commanders clinched their first playoff berth since 2020. The fact that they did it with a week to go and don't need to rely on winning in Dallas was huge, too. Now the pressure's off. Although, if they win, they avoid playing the Eagles again. That and beating the Cowboys should be enough motivation for playoff-bound Washington.
Bears (4-12) at Packers (11-5): Green Bay-Green Bay is 0-5 against the Lions, Vikings and Eagles (combined record: 41-7) and 11-0 against the rest of the NFL. And all it will get them is either the 6- or 7-seed in the NFC playoffs. And, if Washington beats Dallas, who will they end up playing? Philadelphia! There's nothing the Packers can do about that. But you know that finishing the regular season by beating the archrival Bears at Lambeau will be a good way to head into the postseason.
Jaguars (4-12) at Colts (7-9): Indianapolis-Indianapolis had perhaps the easiest path to the playoffs of the four teams still in contention for the last AFC wild card after last week. Beat the Giants and beat the Jaguars. So, of course, they not only lose to the Giants, they get 45 points dropped on them! Which makes this game totally meaningless. I'm not sure the degree to which the Colts will care, so a Jaguars win wouldn't shock me. I'll stick with Indianapolis, though.
Bills (13-3) at Patriots (3-13): Buffalo-Both the Ravens and Bengals need to win this week. Which means Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow will both play the whole game and boost their stats. Josh Allen likely won't. The Bills can do whatever they want, and the decision to sit (or at least limit) him this week makes complete sense. I just hope it doesn't negatively impact his MVP chances (personally, I think he should be the runaway favorite). As for the team, a win doesn't change anything, but a franchise record for victories and an undefeated record in the division are nice things to play for.
Giants (3-13) at Eagles (13-3): Philadelphia-Entering last week, the Giants had the inside track at the No. 1 overall pick in the draft. After beating the Colts, their chances at getting it are significantly slimmer. Although, I don't necessarily think that's a terrible thing since there won't be a franchise quarterback available. And, knowing the Giants, they'll go into Philadelphia for a meaningless game and upset the Eagles. Seeing Saquon setting the rushing record against the team that decided they don't want him anymore would've been some sort of poetic irony, but, alas, he won't play. He'll just have to settle for the satisfaction of seeing the Giants finish with the worst record in the league.
Saints (5-11) at Buccaneers (9-7): Tampa Bay-With a win or a Falcons loss, Tampa Bay is back in the playoffs once again. They actually have a chance of moving up to the No. 3 seed, too, which means hosting the Commanders or Packers instead of the 14-win Vikings or Lions. (Although, Tampa Bay has beaten Detroit this season.) Baker Mayfield has been proving his doubters wrong ever since he came to Tampa and took over for Tom Brady. That won't change against a Saints team that's been mailing it in under the interim coach. The Bucs return to the playoffs.
Texans (9-7) at Titans (3-13): Houston-That embarrassment on Christmas locked the Texans into the No. 4 seed, but also left Houston knowing it had a lot of work to do. They played two teams they'll potentially meet again in the playoffs and, after holding their own in Kansas City, were outclassed in every facet by Baltimore. So, even though nothing will change for them seeding-wise against the Titans, Houston may want to use this one to work on getting things right before the games that really matter next week.
49ers (6-10) at Cardinals (7-9): Arizona-It really is remarkable the streak that San Francisco is on. The 49ers either make the NFC Championship Game or miss the playoffs entirely. This season, they went with Option B. Too many injuries and too many close losses to overcome. The Cardinals, meanwhile, have put together a nice season. Sure, they're gonna end up below .500 and out of the playoffs, but there have really been some encouraging signs. And 8-9 looks a whole lot better than 7-10!
Chiefs (15-1) at Broncos (9-7): Denver-The Dolphins and Bengals can't be too happy about Kansas City's decision to sit its starters. Because they need a Broncos loss to have any hope at getting into the playoffs. But with the Chiefs' starters sitting, the likelihood of Denver getting that win it needs have gone up exponentially. After all, the Broncos would've beaten them in Kansas City if not for that blocked kick at the end of the game. Of course, they'd already be in if they hadn't lost their last two games. But that's the benefit of having a cushion. The Broncos clinch the 7-seed and head to Buffalo.
Chargers (10-6) at Raiders (4-12): Chargers-I know I'm stating the obvious here, but Jim Harbaugh is a pretty good coach. After missing the playoffs last season, the Chargers clinched a wild card with one week to go by dominating the Patriots last week. This after their comeback win to beat the Broncos on Thursday night in Week 16. Now they can put a bow on the regular season by beating the Raiders in Las Vegas.
Seahawks (9-7) at Rams (10-6): Rams-Thanks to the strength of victory tiebreaker, the Rams have already clinched the NFC West. Which is a bit of a shame since it deprived us of this one being for the division title. Either way, the Rams would've been my pick. I just wish we still had that drama. It's been quite a turnaround after that 1-4 start. And they clinch the 3-seed with a win, which means avoiding the NFC North teams in both the wild card and divisional rounds. Don't think that's an unimportant detail.
Dolphins (8-8) at Jets (4-12): Miami-Aaron Rodgers "accepts" that this might be the final game of his career. Either way, it's his last game as a Jet. That two-year experiment sure didn't work out, and his voluntary benching last week in Buffalo spoke volumes. (Note to the Jets, don't sign anymore old, disgruntled future Hall of Fame Packers quarterbacks!) Anyway, all the Dolphins can do is win and hope the Chiefs care enough to beat the Broncos. Otherwise, great job to finish above .500. But that 2-6 start was a season killer.
Vikings (14-2) at Lions (14-2): Detroit-As soon as the Vikings beat the Packers, we all knew this would be Game 272. Yet the NFL made us wait until the end of last week's SNF game to announce it (which I get, but was still annoying). The Vikings have turned winning close games into an art. The Lions have made an art of winning in so many different ways. Detroit might be the best, most complete team in the NFL. They need the 1-seed, but not because it'll give them home field advantage. They need the bye. They haven't been off since Week 5!
Last Week: 12-4
Overall: 167-89
I'm a sports guy with lots of opinions (obviously about sports mostly). I love the Olympics, baseball, football and college basketball. I couldn't care less about college football and the NBA. I started this blog in 2010, and the name "Joe Brackets" came from the Slice Man, who was impressed that I picked Spain to win the World Cup that year.
Saturday, January 4, 2025
NFL 2024-25 (Week 18)
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